It’s 11:26 p.m., and with 57.7% of the voting tables accounted for the numbers so far are:
- Oscar Arias: 40.8%
- Ottón Solís: 40.3%
- Otto Guevara: 8.2%
Guevara is exactly on the range that Borges and Asociados predicted he would get (as opposed to the over 15% that the ML was getting before they decided to dump the principles).
The difference between Arias and Solís is 0.3% - a tenth of the error margin of the best polls. While the lesser evil is currently ahead, if the numbers as much as sneeze we’ll wake up tomorrow with an pro-union power-hungry ultra-dogmatic elect president (as opposed to the power-hungry egomaniac).
Yay.
Ricardo, since you know much more about Costa Rican politics than the other English language CR bloggers can you please blog about why you think the numbers shifted so much from the polls to election day? Arias lost a bit, Solis gained a lot, and Guevara’s numbers are looking to be half what he was polling at. I would love to hear your insight as to why you think that happened. Thanks.
Sure Jacqueline. I’ll wrap something up late tonight, after I’ve gotten the bile out of my system (and there I was a week ago, telling you and Jorge I couldn’t care less anymore…)